Verification & Trust.
The trust layer for machine intelligence — proving an AI did what it claims, on-chain, without revealing the model.
Thesis
Why this sector, why now.
As agents transact and models earn on their own, the unanswered question is verification: did the inference actually run, on the model claimed, producing the output that got paid for? zkML, optimistic ML, and proof-of-inference turn "trust me" into "verify me." This is the bucket where Lookout's CertiK relationship is a genuine edge — auditing and proof systems are adjacent disciplines, and no neutral platform covers verifiable AI with audit-grade credibility. The fork: do proofs live at the model layer (zkML — EZKL, Modulus, Giza) or the coprocessor layer around it (Lagrange, Space and Time)? My read: zkML is still too expensive for large models, so near-term value accrues to optimistic and coprocessor approaches; zkML wins later as proving costs fall.
Signals I track
What would move my read.
- 01
Proving cost per inference vs model size (the zkML scaling wall)
- 02
Real protocols consuming proofs in production, not benchmarks
- 03
Whether audit / insurance products attach to proof layers (the CertiK-adjacent wedge)
Kill shot
What would kill the thesis
Trusted execution environments (Intel SGX, Nvidia confidential compute) get cheap and 'good enough' for verifiable inference, and the market never pays the premium for cryptographic proofs.
Coverage
Projects on the radar.
Lagrange
ConvictionZK coprocessor and decentralized prover network for verifiable big-data SQL and AI inference; $13.2M seed led by Peter Thiel's Founders Fund.
Deep read →
Space and Time
ConvictionMicrosoft-backed ZK-proven (Proof of SQL) verifiable data warehouse and L1 for trustless data + AI; $40M total incl. M12 and Framework.
Deep read →
Ora Protocol
WatchingOnchain AI oracle tokenizing models via opML + Initial Model Offerings; $20M from Polychain, HF0 and HashKey.
Deep read →
Going deeper
Bespoke Verification & Trust dive for your fund.
Draft thesis · editorial voice in progress, edits land continuously